Welcome to this action blog to cut U.S. oil use! We'll do it with:
1. Healthy Communities with great transit, safe and pleasant bicycling and walking;
2. Electric Vehicles, including charging from renewable electricity and zero-emission buses;
3. Less diesel via new truck standards, local electric trucks, freight to rail and rail electrification.
Start here for Climate Facts and Oil Facts, or read on for the latest news....

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Laura mulls climate distruption, acts

Healthy communities > Laura mulls climate disruption, acts

By John Holtzclaw

Laura had recently moved to the city, and was distressed at the carbon emissions she and her neighbors must be emitting. She knew they were adding to climate disruption and was curious about how and how much they could lower their emissions. She tried googling.

The more she dug, the more concerned she became about how much electricity and heating she used, and where it came from, how it was generated (but that’s another blog). She found that driving was a huge carbon emitter.

Complete Communities

She compared her electrical and gas use with her parents in a nearby suburb. She and her two roommates were using only ¼ as much. Why? They shared walls with neighbors on either side and above and below, exposing much less surface to the sun, winds and rain. And they didn’t need nearly as much space per person because they had nearby friends, parks and great places to gather, and a wealth of cafes, 500 restaurants within a mile, and entertainment. Nor did they need a garage, nor room for yard maintenance equipment. All this amounted to much less space to heat or cool. Or lawn to water.

Having less lawn, their digs used less fertilizer (made from natural gas). Their neighborhood convenience took less driving for pizza, and has far less roadway to build and maintain.

Laura loved her neighborhood’s great nearby markets, including a farmers market. And also the restored historic district, and music halls and museums. The views from the high rises make for favorite weekend visits. She chuckled to herself when she ditched her car at her parents house.

Her corner grocer, Mohammed, came from Iraq. She had never met a Muslim before. But he had a great sense of humor, and took responsibility for the nearby streets as well as his market, giving an extra sense of safety – Jane Jacobs’ “eyes on the street.” Knowing him in person liberated her from the 2-D stereotype cast by TV “news.”

She explored Hispanic, Asian and African markets. And the neighborhood had poor as well as some wealthy folk. She relishsed living in a real community, with a sense of shared interests and variety of opinions. A very rich mix.

Her favorite grandmother (not that Laura would play favorites) was planning to move into the city to avoid having to drive every trip, and liberating her from auto costs and the hazards of driving.

Public Transit

Speaking of choices of public transit for those longer trips (we weren’t but we will now), Laura could choose between buses and trolley (electric) buses, historic streetcars and modern light rail, as well as subways. With her girlfriend Gupta’s help, she quickly discovered that each filled a niche, and made her life easier.

She also learned from googling that moving passengers from cars and planes to rail, especially high speed rail, and moving freight from trucks to rail saved energy and emissions, and electrifying the rail greatly reduced them even farther.

Complete Streets

She did notice that the city was tearing up pavement on many major streets and widening the sidewalks, and extending them across parking lanes at corners. And putting bike lanes next to the sidewalks, protected from traffic by a row of parked cars. Her friend Kai Tsai called it complete streets. It really seemed to calm traffic. Even her wussiest roommate tried biking to work. Perhaps even her grandmother would give cycling a try.

The other side of this coin is to avoid building roads that require so much driving and induce additional traffic. Build or widen a freeway and you make farther destinations more attractive, inducing changes in trip destinations and home moves requiring longer commutes. This induced traffic increases climate disruption and other pollution emissions, fuel use and costs, and road wear and maintenance costs.

Bikeshare, Carshare

Rodrigo told her about a new game in town, or actually about to be unveiled – bikeshare. It was the latest rage; every city wanted one to prove they were a 21st Century city. Bikes would be clustered in convenient stations near transit, markets, employment and residential centers, museums. You could then take one using your membership card and leave it at this or any other bikeshare station. Membership would be $100/year or less and the first half or three quarter hour on the bike would be free, with modest charges above that. Membership cards quickly become status symbols! And all these walking and cycling improvements really reduced traffic, parking requirements and the city’s maintenance costs.

Laura knew the city already had carshare, which worked similarly to bikeshare, but for cars. You joined and had your choice of minicars, sedans, sports cars and pickups. It induced many members to ditch owning a car since they had one when needed. Having to pay for the time you have the car proves an incentive to walk, cycle or transit rather than driving.

Retrofitting Suburbs

Laura thought about why suburbs like the one she grew up in required driving for every loaf of bread, and puzzled about how to repair them. She googled and found that sprawl was not accidental, but driven by federal policy. Commerce Secretary Herbert Hoover promoted model zoning laws that included large-setback single-family housing, off-street parking and wide streets, while prohibiting markets and some sidewalks. Federally funded freeway construction bulldozed central city housing and commerce, destroying and dividing neighborhoods, bringing in hazardous traffic, noise, and pollution, and connecting central city jobs to sprawl development on cheap farmland and natural areas, while loading infrastructure costs onto the rest of the community. That explained why almost everything you wanted to get to required driving. And it is very expensive to provide public transit where the trip lengths are so long and passengers so few, and the public reluctant to fund “empty buses.”

What could be done to reduce the necessity to drive so far, and reduce traffic and road maintenance costs? Suburban communities could reform their zoning to allow in-law units and reduce parking requirements, and to allow cafes, restaurants, local markets, multifamily housing and parks and plazas in strategic locations in the residential areas. They could widen sidewalks and add bike lanes throughout the city. Suburban office parks could be modernized by infilling housing above commerce on those huge parking lots.

Teaser

Well, you’ve read Laura’s story thru to here, and hopefully followed up on some of the links. Our focus is on making cities livable, convenient, enjoyable, vibrant, resilient, efficient and non-polluting. This blog was written from the perspective of no particular city. But we intend to update this every few months, with each focused on a particular U.S. city, by a lover of that city. We plan to cover these same five broad topics in each blog, and digest the materials covered by the links into a separate blog, like the one linked to in bikeshare. Giving us timely one-stop-shopping for improving our city while reducing our environmental footprint. While immersing us in the life of cities like L.A., New Orleans, D.C. and many more.

Quality of place - vibrant and verdant!

Healthy communities > Quality of place

New housing with neighborhood character, in walking distance to transit (South Pasadena)

Walk to neighborhood restaurants and movies (Pasadena)

Streets for people (CycLAvia, Los Angeles)

Streets for people (San Francisco)

Inviting places for people (Santa Monica)

U.S. light rail

Healthy communities > U.S. light rail

Seattle

Portland

Sacramento

Los Angeles

San Diego

Denver

Houston

French trams

Healthy communities > French trams

Angers

Many French cities have built new electric tram lines in the last decade or two. Not only do they provide convenient zero-emissions mobility, they have added wonderful artistic flair to the urban design of both historic and modern areas. Here are four of my favorite examples. Also see Trams in France, Wikipedia, and Oil Free Transportation.

Bordeaux



Montpellier



Strasbourg




Sources: Special thanks to Flickr Creative Commons users Alain Rouiller 1 and 2, David McKelvey 3, Ian Fisher 4 and 5, James-In-Transit 6, rosipaw 7, and Kris Duda 8!

Transit case studies

Healthy communities > Transit case studies

Expo Line light rail approvals – 2001 and 2010
  • Opportunity for light rail from downtown Los Angeles west to Santa Monica along existing railroad right-of-way
  • Opposition by NIMBYs and rail transit opponents
  • Formed volunteer group Friends 4 Expo Transit, including SC Angeles Chapter
  • Presented opportunity and need for light rail’s speed, comport, and capacity in this high-density corridor to many neighborhood groups
  • Gathered endorsements and signatures and mobilized supporters via email and website to public meetings
  • Achieved support of city councils and MTA board approval
  • Created constituency for larger transit network that led to Move LA

Measure R, Los Angeles County 2008 1/2-cent sales tax – Move LA coalition
  • Organized conference on how to fund L.A.’s transit network
  • Built coalition of labor, business, environmentalists, transit agency, and elected officials to create and support county sales tax ballot measure
  • Achieved passage over necessary 2/3 majority
  • Continuing as leading voice for transit funding (America Fast Forward) and smart growth planning (MPO SCAG’s Regional Plan)

When we urgently saved oil


The U.S. showed how we could save oil in a national emergency during World War II. Here are five propaganda posters promoting saving oil – especially by car-pooling – to complement gasoline’s ration coupons (sixth image). Yes, that is an early Dr. Seuss drawing!







Sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Monday, August 25, 2014

Climate facts

Oil poisons our air, water, land ...

and climate.

Heat-trapping CO2, the largest driver of global warming, has doubled from human fossil fuel use to levels not seen in over 400,000 years. Impacts already experienced include:
  • Heating the atmosphere and ocean (over 90% of excess heat is going into the ocean);
  • Melting sea ice, ice sheets, and glaciers;
  • Rising sea level;
  • Extreme weather including more powerful storms, drought, record heat, and wildfires.
Sources: IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers, page 4; NOAA Vostok ice core and Mauna Loa data; NASA photo.

Over 90% of excess heat is going into the ocean.

Sources: NOAA NODC data; NOAA-NASA GOES Project photo of Hurricane Sandy 10/29/12.

Summer Arctic sea ice volume has dropped by over 2/3 since 1979.

Sources: Polar Science Center data; U.S. FWS photo.


The CO2 emissions path the world is on (red line) is heading far beyond the critical 2 degrees C rise (blue line) and must peak and begin falling soon.

U.S. (15% of world in 2012) and European CO2 emissions are falling slightly, but Chinese (29%), Indian (6%), and other emissions are still rising rapidly. Although second now, the U.S. has the greatest cumulative and per-capita emissions.

Sources: Global Carbon Project 2013, figures 21 and 12.

Transportation is the second-highest U.S. emissions sector, and largest in states like California with less coal-fired electricity.

Source: U.S. EPA data.

Climate Disruption resources

Oil facts

Fighting the Keystone XL pipeline has been a vital battle against the dirtiest source of oil, but to win the war we must cut demand for oil. Here's how.

World oil production has been relatively flat since 2005. Although the U.S. has been using less and producing more oil, with China and India importing more plus the rest of the world's demand and big old fields depleting there's reason to expect prices continue higher. (mbpd = million barrels per day)

Source: U.S. EIA production, imports, and world production and consumption data.

About half of U.S. oil is used for gasoline, another quarter for distillate (mostly diesel for trucks), and a smaller slice for jet fuel. That's why our focus is on cars and trucks.

Source: U.S. EPA data.

Ethanol from corn takes about as much fossil fuel energy to produce as it yields in energy – not to mention its use of water and fertilizer and land impacts – so it is no solution to oil use, and the reason I've deducted ethanol from motor gasoline in the chart above. Cellulosic ethanol from woody plants has been a hoped-for next step, but has not reached production scale. Future biofuels from algae are a possibility, but will have highest priority for applications like jet fuel.

Nationally over 3/4 of Americans drive alone to work, but some cities did much better. We seek more Healthy Communities where more can bike, walk, and ride transit, but with so much of the U.S. in auto-oriented suburbia, Electric Vehicles are a crucial second lever to reduce oil use.

Source: U.S. Census American Community Survey.


Here is a scenario of how the U.S. could cut oil use in half from 2005-2030. Its baseline already includes savings from the new federal MPG standards for cars and light trucks through 2025. In short, we drive less, drive electric, and/or drive highest MPG.

Source: U.S. EIA actual and Annual Energy Outlook data; Excel model.

Some other oil-saving scenarios:
We're up against huge economic and political power....

But we have the truth about climate and the momentum!

Actions for Healthy Communities

Compact livable communities

Vision

Cities are compact and convenient, vibrant and verdant, fun, beautiful, and efficient places to live, work, and shop, walk, bicycle and take transit, improving our health and mood and greatly reducing the need to drive. Read Laura mulls climate disruption, acts for more!

Actions

Resource links


Complete Streets

Vision

“Complete Streets” are safe and inviting for people as pedestrians and bicyclists, not just in cars, and bring life back into cities.

Actions

  • Promote development of a city's Complete Streets policy and Bicycle Plan;
  • Establish bike share facilities.

Resource Links


Expand transit

Vision

Electric rail transit is the widespread renewably-powered backbone to connect compact neighborhoods.

See these highlights of U.S. light rail and French trams for some inspiring examples. Los Angeles' Expo Line light rail (4/28/12 Phase 1 opening weekend to La Cienega, above) was only approved because of organized grass-roots support.

“The sustainability agenda demands transit, especially the development of rail systems that are competitive with the car in passenger appeal and speed.” (Sustainability and Cities: Overcoming Automobile Dependence, Peter Newman and Jeffrey Kenworthy, page 154)

Actions

  • Organize support to plan and fund expansion of local transit networks with local transit agencies and larger coalitions;
  • Promote greater use of existing transit service.

Resource links


Funding and parking reform

Vision

Transportation is well-funded, and financial incentives are for sustainable alternatives to driving and using fossil fuels.

The federal Highway Trust Fund spends $50 billion per year on road and transit projects but only takes in $34 billion per year from the 18.4 cents per gallon federal gasoline tax that hasn't been raised since 1993. In the debate about how to close the gap note that benefits of the current gasoline tax are it is proportional to carbon emissions and easy to collect; switching to a vehicle miles traveled (VMT) fee could lose that correspondence and raises issues of privacy and costs of collection.

Actions

  • Organize support for national, state, and local funding for good transportation projects;
  • Support parking reforms including removing off-street requirements and unbundling (separately pricing) its cost;
  • Broaden transportation demand management (TDM) workplace parking alternatives (cash-out, transit passes);
  • Promote smart-phone-based carpooling.

Resource links